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Are Gradient Boosting Models Suitable for Intermittent Demand Forecasting?

arXiv · AI, language, vision and robotics · article · Sep 13, 2026 · UTC

Demand forecasting is critical in modern industry, offering opportunities to reduce costs and gain competitive advantage through improved inventory management. However, forecasting becomes particularly challenging for products with intermittent demand, where demand occurs infrequently and time series contain many zero observations. Such dynamics are common across diverse sectors, such as industrial organizations, consumer goods, aviation, automotive, and electronics. Motivated by these challenges, this paper explores the potential of gradient boosting models to improve forecasting performance.

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