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Peak-Aware Short-Term Load Forecasting Across Distribution Grid Aggregation Levels

arXiv · AI, language, vision and robotics · article · Sep 16, 2026 · UTC

For distribution system operators, short-term load forecasting (STLF) supports congestion management, voltage control, and asset protection. Most existing approaches focus on overall accuracy across all time steps and neglect performance during high-demand (HD) periods, where larger forecast errors can increase the risk of congestion and voltage violations. In this paper, we study peak-aware STLF across three operator-relevant distribution grid aggregation levels, area codes (AC), secondary substations (SUB), and low-voltage (LV) feeders, using open datasets from the United Kingdom and Switzer

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Evidence & attribution

arXiv · AI, language, vision and robotics · 2026-09-16T12:45:33.000Z

First collected: 2026-09-20T08:01:03.945Z. This is not the publication date.